Pemberton leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Pemberton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pemberton, ~17% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pemberton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pemberton leans more Republican than 35 of 42 neighbors.
Pemberton runs about 52 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Pemberton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pemberton. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Pemberton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pemberton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pemberton votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Pemberton runs about 52 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Pemberton, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Pemberton looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Pemberton own their home, about 12 points above the Minnesota average of 82%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Clair, MN R+32
- Waldorf, MN R+51
- Janesville, MN R+35
- Mapleton, MN R+39
- Smiths Mill, MN R+35
- Minnesota Lake, MN R+46
- Eagle Lake, MN R+19
- Good Thunder, MN R+37
- Otisco, MN R+50
- Madison Lake, MN R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glenada, OR R+2
- Carmel, LA R+2
- Woodruff, AZ R+55
- Flemingtown, VA R+65
- Torch River, MI R+16
- Rose City, MN R+56
- Elkatawa, KY R+62
- Oakford, IL R+60
- Wheatonville, IN R+50
- Peaks Mill, KY R+52
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.