Pioneer is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Pioneer typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pioneer, ~34% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pioneer compares
Pioneer sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Pioneer runs about 25 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole. Montana leans Republican overall, while Pioneer is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Pioneer. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Pioneer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pioneer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pioneer votes against the grain of Montana. Montana leans Republican overall, while Pioneer runs about 25 points more Democratic. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Pioneer fits that profile on both counts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Pioneer, Butte, MT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Pioneer looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Pioneer sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Hopecrest, Morgantown, WV D+26
- Sunnyheights, Pueblo, CO D+5
- Edison, San Antonio, TX D+35
- Laddie Place and North Wilson, San Antonio, TX D+30
- Painted Meadows, Santa Fe, TX R+29
- Woodmere, Jacksonville, FL R+6
- Laurelwood, Albuquerque, NM D+18
- Downtown Fostoria, Fostoria, OH R+15
- Scioto Trace, Columbus, OH D+19
- Wester, Lubbock, TX R+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.