Moose Can Gully leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Moose Can Gully typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moose Can Gully, ~54% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moose Can Gully compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Moose Can Gully leans more Democratic than 2 of 11 neighbors.
Moose Can Gully runs about 43 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole. Montana leans Republican overall, while Moose Can Gully is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Moose Can Gully. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+31) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Moose Can Gully leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moose Can Gully, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Moose Can Gully votes against the grain of Montana. Montana leans Republican overall, while Moose Can Gully runs about 43 points more Democratic.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Moose Can Gully, Missoula, MT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Moose Can Gully looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Moose Can Gully is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South 39th Street, Missoula, MT D+14
- Miller Creek, Missoula, MT D+3
- Southgate Triangle, Missoula, MT D+26
- Lewis and Clark, Missoula, MT D+47
- Franklin To The Fort, Missoula, MT D+29
- Rose Park, Missoula, MT D+59
- University District, Missoula, MT D+59
- Emma Dickinson Orchard Homes, Missoula, MT D+31
- Heart of Missoula, Missoula, MT D+51
- Westside, Missoula, MT D+35
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Friendly Hills, Dakota Ridge, CO D+8
- North Riverdale, Dayton, OH D+61
- North College, Abilene, TX R+14
- Old Colorado City, Colorado Springs, CO D+4
- Jennings Lodge, Portland, OR D+22
- Memorial Heights, San Antonio, TX D+35
- Bayswater, Indianapolis, IN D+59
- Oakford Park, Tampa, FL D+8
- Pennington-Prospect, Trenton, NJ D+85
- North East, Olympia, WA D+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.