Pope Mills, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Pope Mills

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Pope Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.

 

About 59% of adults in Pope Mills typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pope Mills, ~17% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Pope Mills compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Pope Mills leans more Republican than 50 of 52 neighbors.

Pope Mills runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Pope Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Pope Mills leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pope Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Pope Mills, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the New York average of 34%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Pope Mills sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 75% of cities). Pope Mills runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Pope Mills, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Pope Mills looks the way it does

Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in Pope Mills have more than one occupant per room, above 88% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Pope Mills have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.