Tupman is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Tupman typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tupman, ~6% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tupman compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tupman leans more Republican than 14 of 17 neighbors.
Tupman runs about 93 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Tupman is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Tupman leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tupman, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Tupman hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points below the California average of 35%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Tupman are family households, above 86% of cities. Tupman runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Tupman, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tupman looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tupman is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 15 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in Tupman rent, above 89% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Tupman report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Valley Acres, CA R+80
- Buttonwillow, CA R+23
- Ford City, CA R+57
- Mexican Colony, CA R+52
- Taft, CA R+40
- Shafter, CA R+11
- South Taft, CA R+19
- North Shafter, CA R+54
- Fellows, CA R+80
- Mc Kittrick, CA R+82
Cities with Similar Populations
- Addington, OK R+71
- Hannibal, OH R+58
- Robeson Extension, PA R+70
- Kissimmee, PA R+70
- Friends Station, TN R+68
- Yale, SD R+61
- Vineland, AL R+8
- Big Creek, LA R+89
- East Homer, NY R+40
- Betzer, MI R+58
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.