Red Lake leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Red Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Red Lake, ~55% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Red Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Red Lake leans more Democratic than 4 of 6 neighbors.
Red Lake runs about 53 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Red Lake is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Red Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Red Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Red Lake votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Red Lake runs about 53 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 59% of adults in Red Lake have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Red Lake, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Red Lake looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Red Lake is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 15 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tonalea, AZ D+41
- Rare Metals, AZ D+63
- Kaibito, AZ D+34
- Shonto, AZ D+41
- Tuba City, AZ D+41
- Moenkopi, AZ D+57
- Tsegi, AZ D+29
- Sand Springs, AZ D+52
- Moenave, AZ D+49
- Hard Rocks, AZ D+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Polacca, AZ D+68
- Gilboa, OH R+68
- New Houlka, MS R+15
- Maplewood, NY R+15
- East Salem, WV R+59
- Altona, IL R+38
- Mapleton, OR R+18
- Cologne, VA R+38
- Callaghan, VA R+65
- Old Mission, MI D+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.