Moenave leans heavily Democratic by roughly 50 points: about 75% of voters vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Moenave typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moenave, ~44% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moenave compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moenave leans more Democratic than 1 of 4 neighbors.
Moenave runs about 55 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Moenave is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Moenave leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moenave, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Moenave votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Moenave runs about 55 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Moenave have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Moenave, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Moenave looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Moenave is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 18 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 46% of adults in Moenave report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 72% of adults in Moenave have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tuba City, AZ D+41
- Moenkopi, AZ D+57
- Rare Metals, AZ D+63
- Cameron, AZ D+51
- Red Lake, AZ D+47
- Kaibito, AZ D+34
- Tonalea, AZ D+41
- North Rim, AZ D+3
- Gray Mountain, AZ D+36
- Grand Canyon Village, AZ R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Union Star, MO R+64
- Leary, GA R+11
- Midland, MD R+54
- Westminster, OH R+68
- Olympian Village, MO R+55
- Ehrhardt, SC R+46
- Pattison, MS D+65
- Heath, AL R+73
- Rockford, AL R+52
- Tivydale, TX R+72
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.