Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD, Germantown, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.

 

About 77% of adults in Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD, ~32% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD compares

Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD runs about 15 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+36), a spread of about 54 points.

Why Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 61%, below 82% of neighborhoods).

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD, Germantown, TN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Walnut Grove - Shelby Farms PD have completed high school, above 81% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.