Roxboro leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Roxboro typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Roxboro, ~34% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Roxboro compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Roxboro leans more Republican than 17 of 60 neighbors.
Roxboro runs about 8 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Roxboro. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Roxboro leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Roxboro, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Roxboro votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 28%, about 8 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Roxboro, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Roxboro looks the way it does
Turnout in Roxboro sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brooksdale, NC R+24
- McGehees Mill, NC R+29
- Denny Store, NC R+21
- Timberlake, NC R+44
- Osmond, NC R+32
- Leasburg, NC R+44
- Semora, NC R+21
- Harmony, VA R+32
- Moriah, NC R+44
- Mayo, VA R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chowchilla, CA R+26
- Elko, NV R+42
- Panama City Beach, FL R+36
- Fernley, NV R+40
- Jesup, GA R+44
- Washington, NC R+9
- Amherst Center, MA D+72
- Clinton, UT R+32
- Winchester, MA D+51
- Machesney Park, IL R+14
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.