Mayo leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Mayo typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayo, ~25% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayo leans more Republican than 52 of 64 neighbors.
Mayo runs about 47 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Mayo is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mayo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 97% of residents in Mayo drive to work alone, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Mayo runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mayo, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mayo looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mayo is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cluster Springs, VA R+39
- Harmony, VA R+32
- Virgilina, VA R+53
- Danripple, VA R+30
- Alton, VA R+33
- McGehees Mill, NC R+29
- South Boston, VA R+7
- Hyco, VA R+32
- Roxboro, NC R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Lynchburg, SC D+49
- Larkin, AR R+71
- Upper Mongaup, NY R+11
- Sunbeam, CO R+70
- Pan Tak, AZ D+51
- Santa Catarina, TX R+9
- Dabney, WV R+66
- Paraloma, AR R+67
- Le Roy, IA R+56
- Dempsey, OK R+84
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.