Upper Brandon, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Upper Brandon

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Upper Brandon leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.

 

About 72% of adults in Upper Brandon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Upper Brandon, ~43% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Upper Brandon compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Upper Brandon leans more Democratic than 60 of 68 neighbors.

Upper Brandon runs about 14 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Upper Brandon. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+34) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+36), a spread of about 69 points.

Why Upper Brandon leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Upper Brandon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 55% of residents in Upper Brandon are Black or African American, about 40 points above the Virginia average of 15%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in Upper Brandon have never been married, above 91% of cities.

Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Upper Brandon, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Upper Brandon looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Upper Brandon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 58% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.