Holdcroft leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Holdcroft typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holdcroft, ~35% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holdcroft compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holdcroft leans more Republican than 35 of 74 neighbors.
Holdcroft runs about 22 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Holdcroft is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Holdcroft leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holdcroft, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Holdcroft votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Holdcroft runs about 22 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Holdcroft, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Holdcroft looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Holdcroft is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 58% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Upper Brandon, VA D+20
- Lanexa, VA R+27
- Ruthville, VA D+26
- Rustic, VA R+16
- Roxbury, VA R+18
- Providence Forge, VA R+12
- Toano, VA R+4
- Claremont, VA R+15
- Jamestown, VA Even
- Charles City, VA D+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fort Seneca, OH R+52
- Newburg, IA R+33
- Ophir, CO D+59
- Russian Mission, AK D+17
- McKinney, KY R+67
- Wahkiacus, WA R+36
- Bevinsville, KY R+59
- Genesee Depot, WI R+33
- Guinda, CA R+19
- Franklin Forks, PA R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.