Providence Forge leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Providence Forge typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Providence Forge, ~38% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Providence Forge compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Providence Forge leans more Republican than 33 of 83 neighbors.
Providence Forge runs about 17 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Providence Forge is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Providence Forge. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Providence Forge leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Providence Forge, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in Providence Forge are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Providence Forge runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Providence Forge, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Providence Forge looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Providence Forge is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roxbury, VA R+18
- Tallysville, VA R+20
- Ruthville, VA D+26
- New Kent, VA R+29
- Charles City, VA D+9
- Quinton, VA R+30
- Lanexa, VA R+27
- Holdcroft, VA R+17
- Westover, VA D+35
- Upper Brandon, VA D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Arbuckle, CA R+19
- Berwick, LA R+71
- Winona, TX R+43
- Greenport, NY D+17
- Holt, AL D+23
- La Blanca, TX Even
- Lodi, OH R+39
- Dundee, OH R+73
- Grasonville, MD R+13
- Sperry, OK R+51
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.