Sacramento is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Sacramento typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sacramento, ~7% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sacramento compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sacramento leans more Republican than 8 of 10 neighbors.
Sacramento runs about 82 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Sacramento is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Sacramento leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sacramento, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Sacramento live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. Sacramento runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Sacramento, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Sacramento looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Sacramento is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 26%, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Sacramento report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Weed, NM R+75
- Mayhill, NM R+44
- Sunspot, NM R+74
- Timberon, NM R+83
- Cloudcroft, NM R+31
- High Rolls Mountain Park, NM R+44
- Pinon, NM R+79
- Mountain Park, NM R+31
- Alamogordo, NM R+23
- La Luz, NM R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Doyon, ND R+47
- East Stanwood, WA R+23
- Excelsior, WI R+27
- Fairmount, MD R+37
- Devault, PA D+17
- Fentress, MS R+34
- El Ancon, NM D+8
- Felton, AR D+7
- Garden City, LA Even
- Glen Cove, WA D+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.