Saguache County leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Saguache County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Saguache County, ~45% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Saguache County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Saguache County is the most Democratic-leaning.
Saguache County runs about 6 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Saguache County. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 45 points.
Why Saguache County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Saguache County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 32% of adults in Saguache County hold a bachelor's degree, above 80% of counties.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Saguache County, CO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Saguache County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Saguache County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Rio Grande County, CO R+22
- Alamosa County, CO R+3
- Custer County, CO R+33
- Conejos County, CO R+25
- Mineral County, CO R+5
- Chaffee County, CO D+6
- Costilla County, CO D+19
- Fremont County, CO R+25
- Huerfano County, CO R+7
- Hinsdale County, CO R+6
Counties with Similar Populations
- Bear Lake County, ID R+71
- Spink County, SD R+50
- Ellsworth County, KS R+56
- Bottineau County, ND R+50
- Henderson County, IL R+41
- Moody County, SD R+40
- Treutlen County, GA R+35
- Randolph County, GA D+3
- Lafayette County, AR R+32
- Antelope County, NE R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.