San Jacinto is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 48% of adults in San Jacinto typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in San Jacinto, ~23% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How San Jacinto compares
Among cities within 25 miles, San Jacinto sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 10 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 41 leaning the other way.
San Jacinto runs about 23 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while San Jacinto sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within San Jacinto. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 13 points.
Why San Jacinto leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for San Jacinto, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
San Jacinto votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while San Jacinto runs about 23 points more Republican.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as San Jacinto, CA does.
Why turnout in San Jacinto looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. San Jacinto is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in San Jacinto report food insecurity, above 94% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in San Jacinto have completed high school, below 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hemet, CA R+5
- East Hemet, CA R+12
- Soboba Hot Springs, CA R+14
- Valle Vista, CA R+15
- Juniper Springs, CA R+34
- Homeland, CA R+18
- Nuevo, CA R+22
- Banning, CA R+4
- Beaumont, CA R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Four Corners, FL R+6
- Grand Island, NE R+22
- Commerce City, CO D+4
- Punta Gorda, FL R+33
- Culver City, CA D+51
- Holladay, UT D+24
- Statesboro, GA D+4
- Horizon West, FL R+7
- Kyle, TX D+7
- Nurillo, TX R+5
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.