Pine Hills leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Pine Hills typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pine Hills, ~24% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pine Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pine Hills leans more Republican than 4 of 20 neighbors.
Pine Hills runs about 34 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Pine Hills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pine Hills. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Pine Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pine Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Pine Hills live in densely developed areas, about 55 points below the California average of 58%. Pine Hills runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Pine Hills, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Pine Hills looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 10% of homes in Pine Hills have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of cities. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Pine Hills sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Julian, CA R+7
- Wynola, CA R+19
- Descanso, CA R+34
- Guatay, CA R+33
- Santa Ysabel, CA R+23
- Pine Valley, CA R+35
- Mount Laguna, CA R+33
- Alpine, CA R+30
- Ranchita, CA R+25
- Ramona, CA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aberdeen Gardens, WA R+35
- Frederick, PA R+31
- Hamilton, WA R+33
- Four Corners, WI R+34
- Dawn, MO R+70
- Lester, AR R+15
- Woodbury, MI R+42
- Port William, OH R+62
- Daggett, CA R+34
- Edna, OK R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.