Palomar Mountain leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Palomar Mountain typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palomar Mountain, ~20% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palomar Mountain compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palomar Mountain leans more Republican than 11 of 24 neighbors.
Palomar Mountain runs about 40 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Palomar Mountain is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Palomar Mountain leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palomar Mountain, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Palomar Mountain live in densely developed areas, about 55 points below the California average of 58%. Palomar Mountain runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Palomar Mountain, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Palomar Mountain looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Palomar Mountain have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Palomar Mountain have completed high school, below 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pauma Valley, CA R+26
- Warner Springs, CA R+19
- Valley Center, CA R+25
- Pala, CA R+20
- Aguanga, CA R+34
- Radec, CA R+41
- Santa Ysabel, CA R+23
- Holcomb Village, CA R+34
- Escondido, CA D+8
- Wynola, CA R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tocsin, IN R+65
- Glen Elder, KS R+67
- Ripplemead, VA R+54
- Rio Nido, CA D+45
- Garland, NY R+30
- Georgia, TX R+79
- Tarentum, AL R+50
- Prairie Point, MS D+60
- Cameron, LA R+74
- Corea, ME R+27
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.