Simmler leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Simmler typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Simmler, ~15% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Simmler compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Simmler leans more Republican than 3 of 6 neighbors.
Simmler runs about 47 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Simmler is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Simmler. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+48), a spread of about 56 points.
Why Simmler leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Simmler, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Simmler votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Simmler runs about 47 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Simmler sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 97% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in Simmler are family households, above 97% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Simmler, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Simmler looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 32% of households in Simmler rent, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Panza, CA R+43
- Mc Kittrick, CA R+82
- Fellows, CA R+80
- Spicer City, CA R+9
- Lost Hills, CA D+8
- Pozo, CA R+27
- Buttonwillow, CA R+23
- Santa Margarita, CA R+23
- Shandon, CA R+29
- Creston, CA R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bacova, VA R+46
- Coal Bluff, AL D+19
- Oxford, WV R+71
- Summit City, CA R+40
- Plainview, OK R+76
- Number Eight, MO R+67
- Randles, MO R+73
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.