Lost Hills leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 30% of adults in Lost Hills typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lost Hills, ~16% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~70% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lost Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lost Hills is the most Democratic-leaning.
Lost Hills runs about 12 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why Lost Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lost Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in Lost Hills have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 29%). Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Lost Hills is about 2%, compared to around 24% in nearby cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lost Hills, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lost Hills looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lost Hills is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 20 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 60% of households in Lost Hills rent, compared to around 45% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 43% of adults in Lost Hills report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Spicer City, CA R+9
- Wasco, CA Even
- Buttonwillow, CA R+23
- Alpaugh, CA R+19
- North Shafter, CA R+54
- Mc Kittrick, CA R+82
- Simmler, CA R+27
- Mexican Colony, CA R+52
- Shafter, CA R+11
- McFarland, CA D+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Midway, TN R+71
- Omaha, AR R+65
- Boston, GA R+25
- Oxford, CO R+8
- Cannelton, IN R+46
- Cordova, AK R+30
- Pleasant Ridge, MI D+49
- Mount Vernon, GA R+25
- Hiram, OH R+30
- Eau Claire, MI R+34
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.