Smithville Center leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Smithville Center typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smithville Center, ~21% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smithville Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smithville Center leans more Republican than 26 of 100 neighbors.
Smithville Center runs about 48 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Smithville Center is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Smithville Center. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+32), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Smithville Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smithville Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Smithville Center votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Smithville Center runs about 48 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Smithville Center, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Smithville Center looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Smithville Center is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Smithville Center own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Triangle, NY R+27
- Tyner, NY R+36
- Smithville Flats, NY R+37
- East McDonough, NY R+44
- Greene, NY R+32
- Genegantslet, NY R+35
- South Oxford, NY R+45
- Mc Donough, NY R+45
- Oxford, NY R+39
- Lower Genegantslet Corner, NY R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alton, KS R+79
- Lane, SD R+55
- Byrd, TX R+61
- Pyriton, AL R+82
- Kelsey, MN R+22
- Newell, AR R+65
- Split Rock, PA R+32
- Arnett, TX R+75
- Stotesbury, MO R+67
- Roche Harbor, WA D+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.