Triangle leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Triangle typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Triangle, ~24% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Triangle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Triangle leans more Republican than 15 of 103 neighbors.
Triangle runs about 39 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Triangle is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Triangle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Triangle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Triangle votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Triangle runs about 39 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Triangle, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Triangle looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Triangle is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 61% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Greene, NY R+32
- Genegantslet, NY R+35
- Lower Genegantslet Corner, NY R+37
- Smithville Center, NY R+35
- Smithville Flats, NY R+37
- Quinneville, NY R+39
- Tyner, NY R+36
- South Oxford, NY R+45
- Chenango Forks, NY R+35
- Coventryville, NY R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Salem Corners, MN R+34
- Forester Chapel, AL R+66
- Stowell, PA R+57
- Blooming Valley, PA R+53
- Rimini, SC D+6
- Palmyra, IA R+39
- Windemere, ME R+28
- Trapp, KY R+61
- Helmet, VA R+8
- Selma, AR Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.