Smithville Flats leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Smithville Flats typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smithville Flats, ~24% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smithville Flats compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smithville Flats leans more Republican than 46 of 106 neighbors.
Smithville Flats runs about 49 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Smithville Flats is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Smithville Flats. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Smithville Flats leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smithville Flats, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Smithville Flats votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Smithville Flats runs about 49 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Smithville Flats drive to work alone, above 82% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Smithville Flats, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Smithville Flats looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Smithville Flats is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Genegantslet, NY R+35
- Triangle, NY R+27
- Smithville Center, NY R+35
- Willet, NY R+51
- Upper Lisle, NY R+40
- Greene, NY R+32
- Lower Genegantslet Corner, NY R+37
- Mc Donough, NY R+45
- Whitney Point, NY R+37
- Tyner, NY R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chapin, IL R+56
- Woodford, SC R+28
- Greenville, MO R+71
- Klawock, AK R+13
- Chocorua, NH Even
- Botland, KY R+54
- Matthews, IN R+49
- Walpole, ME D+44
- Anchorville, MI R+47
- Coleridge, NE R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.