South Beach Miami Beach leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 65% of adults in South Beach Miami Beach typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Beach Miami Beach, ~31% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Beach Miami Beach compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, South Beach Miami Beach leans more Republican than 7 of 9 neighbors.
South Beach Miami Beach runs about 8 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within South Beach Miami Beach. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 34 points.
Why South Beach Miami Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Beach Miami Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican, and South Beach Miami Beach sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; South Beach Miami Beach, Miami Beach, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in South Beach Miami Beach looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. South Beach Miami Beach is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Flamingo-Lummus, Miami Beach, FL D+17
- South of Fifth, Miami Beach, FL R+6
- West Avenue, Miami Beach, FL D+5
- City Center, Miami Beach, FL D+14
- Bayshore, Miami Beach, FL R+4
- Oceanfront, Miami Beach, FL R+7
- Downtown Miami, Miami, FL D+6
- Wynwood, Miami, FL D+12
- Overtown, Miami, FL D+37
- Normandy Isles, North Bay Village, FL R+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- The Woodlands, Randallstown, MD D+83
- Bayshore, Miami Beach, FL R+4
- Squak Mountain, Issaquah, WA D+43
- Sunset Hills, Peoria, IL D+49
- West Laurel, Laurel, MD D+41
- Italian Village, Coral Gables, FL D+3
- Santa Fe, Emeryville, CA D+81
- Oakley, Asheville, NC D+38
- Garden Home-Raleigh Hills, Portland, OR D+55
- Reichlieu, Mobile, AL D+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.