Flamingo-Lummus leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Flamingo-Lummus typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flamingo-Lummus, ~28% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flamingo-Lummus compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Flamingo-Lummus leans more Democratic than 8 of 9 neighbors.
Flamingo-Lummus runs about 31 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Flamingo-Lummus is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Flamingo-Lummus. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+30) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Flamingo-Lummus leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flamingo-Lummus, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Flamingo-Lummus votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Flamingo-Lummus runs about 31 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in Flamingo-Lummus have never been married, above 77% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Flamingo-Lummus, Miami Beach, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Flamingo-Lummus looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Flamingo-Lummus is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 8 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 74% of households in Flamingo-Lummus rent, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Flamingo-Lummus sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South Beach Miami Beach, Miami Beach, FL R+5
- West Avenue, Miami Beach, FL D+5
- South of Fifth, Miami Beach, FL R+6
- City Center, Miami Beach, FL D+14
- Bayshore, Miami Beach, FL R+4
- Oceanfront, Miami Beach, FL R+7
- Downtown Miami, Miami, FL D+6
- Wynwood, Miami, FL D+12
- Overtown, Miami, FL D+37
- Upper Eastside, Miami, FL D+25
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Holland, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Serramonte, Daly City, CA D+36
- Friendly, Fort Washington, MD D+78
- Bloomfield-Allen, Des Moines, IA D+4
- Chinatown-San Francisco, San Francisco, CA D+38
- El Toro Marine Air Station, Irvine, CA D+18
- Financial District, San Francisco, CA D+53
- Highland-Stoner Hill, Shreveport, LA D+39
- Hegewisch, Chicago, IL D+17
- North Shore, Haleiwa, HI D+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.