South Newbury is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 70% of adults in South Newbury typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Newbury, ~36% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Newbury compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Newbury sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 42 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 39 leaning the other way.
South Newbury runs about 31 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Why South Newbury leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in South Newbury. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; South Newbury, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in South Newbury looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South Newbury is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in South Newbury have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bradford, VT Even
- Haverhill, NH R+12
- Piermont, NH D+13
- Newbury, VT Even
- Pike, NH R+15
- Topsham Four Corners, VT R+11
- North Haverhill, NH R+19
- East Corinth, VT R+9
- Orford, NH D+8
- Fairlee, VT D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alburg Center, VT R+22
- Grand Isle, ME R+37
- Mendon Center, NY D+7
- Menemsha, MA D+64
- Dighton, OK R+58
- Patronville, IN R+53
- Virginia, MO R+66
- Chipman, TN R+62
- Pisgah Heights, MI R+53
- Parnell, KY R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.