Southeast Mill Creek leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Southeast Mill Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Southeast Mill Creek, ~22% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Southeast Mill Creek compares
Southeast Mill Creek sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Southeast Mill Creek runs about 20 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Southeast Mill Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Southeast Mill Creek. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Southeast Mill Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Southeast Mill Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 17% of adults in Southeast Mill Creek hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Oregon average of 29%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Southeast Mill Creek are family households, above 76% of neighborhoods. Southeast Mill Creek runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Southeast Mill Creek, Salem, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Southeast Mill Creek looks the way it does
Turnout in Southeast Mill Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Grant, Salem, OR D+35
- Oak Park, Salem, OR D+19
- East Albany, Albany, OR R+18
- North Albany, Albany, OR D+15
- Willamette, Albany, OR D+2
- Santiam, Albany, OR Even
- Periwinkle, Albany, OR R+5
- South Albany, Albany, OR R+8
- Aurora-Butteville-Barlow, Canby, OR D+14
- South Corvallis Neighbors, Corvallis, OR D+52
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Goodby's Creek, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Argyle Park, Columbus, OH D+80
- Silver Swan, Milwaukee, WI D+74
- Downtown Ashland, Ashland, OH R+32
- Stockdale Greens, Bakersfield, CA R+15
- Bonneville Hills, Salt Lake City, UT D+46
- Briarwood, Little Rock, AR D+49
- 1st Ward, Portsmouth, OH R+12
- Feasterville, Feasterville-Trevose, PA R+13
- Downtown Geneva, Geneva, OH R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.