Speculator leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Speculator typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Speculator, ~21% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Speculator compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Speculator leans more Republican than 15 of 21 neighbors.
Speculator runs about 51 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Speculator is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Speculator. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Speculator leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Speculator, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Speculator live in densely developed areas, about 34 points below the New York average of 36%. Speculator runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Speculator, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Speculator looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Speculator is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake Pleasant, NY R+42
- Piseco, NY R+45
- Wells, NY R+49
- Sabael, NY R+16
- Upper Benson, NY R+42
- Edwards Hill, NY R+15
- Bakers Mills, NY R+4
- Indian Lake, NY R+6
- Hoffmeister, NY R+48
- Knowelhurst, NY R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Richmond Center, OH R+55
- Hermon Center, ME R+11
- Simms, MT R+64
- Brookford, NC R+26
- Lockhart, SC R+65
- Piedmont, VA R+57
- Coalburg, WV R+56
- Stapleton, NE R+81
- Delphi Falls, NY R+23
- Squantum, NH R+4
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.