Stephenson leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Stephenson typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stephenson, ~36% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stephenson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stephenson leans more Republican than 20 of 79 neighbors.
Stephenson runs about 25 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Stephenson is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Stephenson. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Stephenson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stephenson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stephenson votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 28%, about 8 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Stephenson runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Stephenson, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Stephenson looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Stephenson is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brucetown, VA R+35
- Wadesville, VA R+32
- Clear Brook, VA R+37
- Winchester, VA R+10
- Stringtown, VA R+29
- Kernstown, VA R+25
- Berryville, VA R+17
- Summit Point, WV R+42
- Bunker Hill, WV R+42
- Briggs, VA R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Covington, OH R+60
- Anthony, FL R+51
- Apple Valley, OH R+44
- Carlyle, IL R+40
- Bellevue, MI R+43
- Nassau Bay, TX R+6
- St. Maries, ID R+59
- Humboldt, IA R+36
- Aylett, VA R+42
- Molino, FL R+64
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.