Tempe Royal Estates leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Tempe Royal Estates typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tempe Royal Estates, ~27% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tempe Royal Estates compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Tempe Royal Estates leans more Democratic than 1 of 9 neighbors.
Tempe Royal Estates runs about 28 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Tempe Royal Estates is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Tempe Royal Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tempe Royal Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Tempe Royal Estates live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Tempe Royal Estates runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Tempe Royal Estates, Tempe, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tempe Royal Estates looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 64% of households in Tempe Royal Estates rent, about 39 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in Tempe Royal Estates have more than one occupant per room, above 84% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Wood Park, Tempe, AZ D+30
- Peterson, Tempe, AZ D+30
- Baseline-Hardy, Tempe, AZ D+24
- Meyer Park, Tempe, AZ D+29
- Tempe Junction, Tempe, AZ D+39
- Downtown Tempe, Tempe, AZ D+38
- Ahwatukee, Phoenix, AZ D+6
- Sunset, Tempe, AZ D+41
- Riverside, Tempe, AZ D+42
- Southwest Mesa, Mesa, AZ D+14
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Imperial Lakes, Fuller Heights, FL R+37
- Bernice, Lansing, IL D+52
- Lincoln Place, Pittsburgh, PA R+5
- Volker, Kansas City, MO D+66
- Cramer Hill, Camden, NJ D+51
- Castle Ranch, Bakersfield, CA R+7
- Kirtland Community, Albuquerque, NM D+35
- Weems, Manassas, VA D+11
- Encino Park, San Antonio, TX R+8
- Eagle Lake, Charlotte, NC D+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.