Temperance leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 98% of adults in Temperance typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Temperance, ~35% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Temperance compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Temperance leans more Republican than 23 of 81 neighbors.
Temperance runs about 26 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Temperance. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Temperance leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Temperance, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Temperance votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 61%, far above the Michigan average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Temperance, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Temperance looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Temperance is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lambertville, MI R+25
- Erie, MI R+32
- Samaria, MI R+40
- Whiteford Center, MI R+43
- Ottawa Lake, MI R+41
- Toledo, OH D+7
- Ottawa Hills, OH D+24
- Luna Pier, MI R+17
- Lulu, MI R+45
- Ida, MI R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Five Corners, WA Even
- Olivehurst, CA R+11
- New River, AZ R+44
- East Hemet, CA R+12
- Buffalo, MN R+26
- Hercules, CA D+46
- Alpine, CA R+30
- East Peoria, IL R+23
- Beaufort, SC R+2
- Mill Creek, WA D+25
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.