Texas County is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Texas County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Texas County, ~12% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Texas County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Texas County leans more Republican than 5 of 8 neighbors.
Texas County runs about 48 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Texas County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Texas County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 9% of residents in Texas County live in densely developed areas, about 13 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Texas County, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Texas County looks the way it does
Turnout in Texas County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Wright County, MO R+69
- Dent County, MO R+65
- Shannon County, MO R+68
- Pulaski County, MO R+36
- Howell County, MO R+62
- Phelps County, MO R+33
- Douglas County, MO R+70
- Laclede County, MO R+61
- Webster County, MO R+64
- Reynolds County, MO R+67
Counties with Similar Populations
- Randolph County, IN R+55
- Jefferson County, OR R+26
- Waushara County, WI R+33
- Marion County, MS R+33
- Fayette County, TX R+55
- Uvalde County, TX R+23
- Scott County, IN R+53
- Burke County, GA R+7
- Nicholas County, WV R+60
- Somerset County, MD Even
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.