Three Lakes leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Three Lakes typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Three Lakes, ~26% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Three Lakes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Three Lakes leans more Republican than 39 of 65 neighbors.
Politically, Three Lakes sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Three Lakes. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+25) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Three Lakes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Three Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Three Lakes votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 84%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Three Lakes are family households, above 92% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Three Lakes, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Three Lakes looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Three Lakes is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 7 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Richmond Heights, FL D+39
- The Crossings, FL R+21
- Palmetto Estates, FL D+11
- Country Walk, FL R+19
- Richmond West, FL R+25
- West Perrine, FL D+23
- Perrine, FL Even
- Kendall, FL R+15
- The Hammocks, FL R+22
- South Miami Heights, FL R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oxford, PA R+10
- Auburn, MA D+6
- New Milford, NJ D+3
- Middleburg Heights, OH R+3
- Sterling, CO R+44
- Bel Air, MD R+8
- Mars, PA R+14
- Worthington, OH D+35
- Makawao, HI D+22
- Rancho Mirage, CA D+15
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.