Oxford leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Oxford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oxford, ~35% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oxford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oxford leans more Republican than 51 of 127 neighbors.
Oxford runs about 8 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oxford. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+25) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Oxford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oxford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oxford votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 39%, modestly above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Oxford are family households, above 76% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Oxford, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oxford looks the way it does
Turnout in Oxford sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lincoln University, PA Even
- Nottingham, PA R+43
- Tayloria, PA R+58
- Blueball, MD R+44
- Kirkwood, PA R+57
- Cochranville, PA R+21
- West Grove, PA D+4
- Kemblesville, PA R+4
- New London, PA Even
- Rising Sun, MD R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Three Lakes, FL R+15
- Auburn, MA D+6
- New Milford, NJ D+3
- Middleburg Heights, OH R+3
- Sterling, CO R+44
- Bel Air, MD R+8
- Mars, PA R+14
- Rancho Mirage, CA D+15
- Makawao, HI D+22
- Worthington, OH D+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.