Tierra del Sol leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Tierra del Sol typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tierra del Sol, ~15% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tierra del Sol compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tierra del Sol leans more Republican than 3 of 18 neighbors.
Tierra del Sol runs about 47 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Tierra del Sol is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Tierra del Sol leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tierra del Sol, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tierra del Sol votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Tierra del Sol runs about 47 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Tierra del Sol sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Tierra del Sol, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Tierra del Sol looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 23% of adults in Tierra del Sol report food insecurity, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Boulevard, CA R+27
- Barrett, CA R+27
- Bankhead Springs, CA R+31
- Live Oak Springs, CA R+27
- Campo, CA R+31
- Jacumba, CA R+31
- Boulder Oaks, CA R+29
- Cameron Corners, CA R+31
- Boulder Park, CA R+35
- Canyon City, CA R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zenda, KS R+71
- Hinckley, NY R+36
- Highfalls, NC R+61
- Sycamore, AR R+52
- Noodle, TX R+81
- Emblem, TX R+80
- Cottonville, MS R+35
- Blue Ridge, MO R+75
- Sphinx Park, CO R+7
- Sheffield Square, VT R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.