Trumbull Corners is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Trumbull Corners typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trumbull Corners, ~37% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trumbull Corners compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Trumbull Corners sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 31 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 79 leaning the other way.
Trumbull Corners runs about 13 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Trumbull Corners sits closer to the political middle.
Why Trumbull Corners leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trumbull Corners, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Trumbull Corners votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Trumbull Corners runs about 13 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Trumbull Corners, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Trumbull Corners looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Trumbull Corners is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 61% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cayutaville, NY R+16
- Newfield, NY D+3
- Enfield, NY D+13
- Alpine, NY R+30
- Mecklenburg, NY D+3
- Smith Valley, NY R+11
- West Danby, NY D+2
- Perry City, NY D+25
- Danby, NY D+53
- Ithaca, NY D+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Northbranch, KS R+75
- North Johns, AL R+73
- Pidcoke, TX R+69
- Hudson Mills, MI Even
- West Shiloh, TN R+81
- Georgeville, MO R+62
- Eola, LA R+58
- Clarksville, AL R+42
- Doverel, GA Even
- Rye Patch, NV R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.