Mexican Colony is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 26% of adults in Mexican Colony typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mexican Colony, ~6% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~74% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mexican Colony compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mexican Colony leans more Republican than 12 of 18 neighbors.
Mexican Colony runs about 72 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Mexican Colony is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mexican Colony. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Mexican Colony leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mexican Colony, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Mexican Colony hold a bachelor's degree, about 25 points below the California average of 35%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 87% of households in Mexican Colony are family households, above 98% of cities. Mexican Colony runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mexican Colony, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mexican Colony looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mexican Colony is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 15 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in Mexican Colony rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in Mexican Colony report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shafter, CA R+11
- North Shafter, CA R+54
- Wasco, CA Even
- Buttonwillow, CA R+23
- Tupman, CA R+73
- Oildale, CA R+34
- McFarland, CA D+9
- Bakersfield, CA R+12
- Spicer City, CA R+9
- Valley Acres, CA R+80
Cities with Similar Populations
- Crossnore, NC R+54
- Mount Salem, NJ R+42
- Owensville, TX R+79
- Bethera, SC R+62
- Wilseyville, CA R+26
- Sheffield, VT R+19
- Eulala, SC R+52
- Hughey, TN R+71
- Pacific Beach, WA R+10
- May, MO R+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.