Union Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Union Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union Grove, ~12% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Union Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Union Grove leans more Republican than 44 of 51 neighbors.
Union Grove runs about 62 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why Union Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Union Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Union Grove hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the North Carolina average of 27%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Union Grove are family households, above 76% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Union Grove, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Union Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in Union Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Love Valley, NC R+65
- Windy Gap, NC R+68
- Olin, NC R+61
- Cycle, NC R+64
- Hamptonville, NC R+63
- Houstonville, NC R+64
- Harmony, NC R+59
- Vashti, NC R+64
- Ronda, NC R+66
- Center, NC R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mineola, IA R+37
- Whitelaw, WI R+45
- Lobelville, TN R+73
- Salvisa, KY R+61
- Cairo Bend, TN R+43
- Naalehu, HI D+10
- Princeville, HI D+32
- Seabrook Island, SC R+8
- Pine Ridge, SC R+34
- North Oxford, MA R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.