Valley Wells, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Valley Wells

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Valley Wells leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.

 

About 58% of adults in Valley Wells typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Wells, ~25% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Valley Wells compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Wells leans more Republican than 5 of 8 neighbors.

Politically, Valley Wells sits close to the rest of Texas.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valley Wells. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+49), a spread of about 50 points.

Why Valley Wells leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Wells, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Valley Wells hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Texas average of 26%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Valley Wells sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 95% of cities).

Population density and Republican lean

Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Valley Wells, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Valley Wells looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Valley Wells is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 16 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in Valley Wells rent, above 92% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 62% of adults in Valley Wells have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.