Catarina is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Catarina typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Catarina, ~27% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Catarina compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Catarina sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 2 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 3 leaning the other way.
Catarina runs about 13 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Catarina. The north side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+46), a spread of about 47 points.
Why Catarina leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Catarina. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Catarina, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Catarina looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Catarina is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 17 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 43% of households in Catarina rent, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 50% of adults in Catarina have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Valley Wells, TX R+13
- Asherton, TX D+4
- Big Wells, TX Even
- Carrizo Springs, TX R+5
- Cotulla, TX R+6
- Crystal City, TX D+5
- Encinal, TX R+31
- Artesia Wells, TX R+47
- Winter Haven, TX D+7
- Los Angeles, TX R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ashby, VA R+35
- Raworth, MS R+34
- Challenge-Brownsville, CA R+27
- Mount Hamill, IA R+46
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.