Valley Farms, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Valley Farms

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Valley Farms leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.

 

About 78% of adults in Valley Farms typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Farms, ~23% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Valley Farms compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Farms leans more Republican than 16 of 22 neighbors.

Valley Farms runs about 34 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.

Why Valley Farms leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Farms, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Valley Farms hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Arizona average of 25%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Valley Farms sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities).

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Valley Farms, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Valley Farms looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Valley Farms is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 60%, below 57% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.