Warner leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Warner typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warner, ~29% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warner compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warner leans more Republican than 51 of 73 neighbors.
Warner runs about 44 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Warner is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Warner leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warner, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Warner votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Warner runs about 44 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Warner drive to work alone, above 82% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Warner are family households, above 79% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Warner, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Warner looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Warner is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Warner own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orion, IL R+31
- Sunny Hill Estates, IL R+30
- Lynn Center, IL R+36
- Cable, IL R+30
- Sunny Hill, IL R+33
- Swedona, IL R+37
- Opheim, IL R+36
- Sherrard, IL R+29
- Coal Valley, IL R+18
- Andover, IL R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- McCoysburg, IN R+63
- Bryants Store, KY R+75
- Jonathan, ID R+60
- Ricketts, IA R+60
- Templeman, VA D+7
- Leipsig, WI R+37
- Oxbow, NY R+45
- Tabor, MN R+51
- Wilsondale, WV R+71
- Hillsboro, MD R+38
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.