Bellaire leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Bellaire typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bellaire, ~43% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bellaire compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bellaire leans more Democratic than 45 of 53 neighbors.
Bellaire runs about 22 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Bellaire is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bellaire. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+13) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Bellaire leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bellaire, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Bellaire live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Bellaire sits in the top quarter (about 82%, in the top fraction of cities). Bellaire runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bellaire, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bellaire looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bellaire is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Bellaire have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Southside Place, TX D+6
- West University Place, TX D+7
- Piney Point Village, TX R+13
- Hunters Creek Village, TX R+41
- Houston, TX D+3
- Bunker Hill Village, TX R+29
- Hilshire Village, TX R+16
- Hedwig Village, TX R+29
- Spring Valley, TX R+19
- Spring Valley Village, TX Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Morris, MI D+12
- Indianola, IA R+17
- Crystal River, FL R+44
- Warwick, NY R+10
- Hot Springs Village, AR R+45
- Marshfield, MA D+8
- Walnut Grove, WA D+11
- White Settlement, TX R+20
- Madisonville, LA R+49
- Marcus Hook, PA D+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.