North Lake Waco is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 74% of adults in North Lake Waco typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Lake Waco, ~17% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Lake Waco compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Lake Waco is the most Republican-leaning.
North Lake Waco runs about 41 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Lake Waco. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 40 points.
Why North Lake Waco leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Lake Waco, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 21% of residents in North Lake Waco live in densely developed areas, about 14 points below the Texas average of 35%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in North Lake Waco are family households, above 80% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; North Lake Waco, Waco, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in North Lake Waco looks the way it does
Turnout in North Lake Waco sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Cedar Ridge, Waco, TX R+7
- Landon Branch, Waco, TX R+16
- North Waco, Waco, TX D+20
- Carver, Waco, TX D+60
- Brookview, Waco, TX D+6
- Parkdale Viking Hills, Waco, TX R+15
- Richland Hills, Waco, TX D+16
- University, Waco, TX D+15
- Baylor, Waco, TX D+8
- Kendrick, Waco, TX D+2
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Lake Ridge, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+17
- Park West, San Diego, CA D+54
- Bakersville, Manchester, NH D+21
- Poncey-Highland, Atlanta, GA D+67
- Northeast Heights, Wichita, KS D+48
- Rogers Park, Fort Collins, CO D+46
- Waters, Lubbock, TX R+25
- Diamond Heights, San Francisco, CA D+71
- Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA D+73
- Calton Gardens, Laredo, TX D+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.