Willernie leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Willernie typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Willernie, ~54% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Willernie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Willernie leans more Democratic than 54 of 103 neighbors.
Willernie runs about 8 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Why Willernie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Willernie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 82% of residents in Willernie live in densely developed areas, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Willernie sits in the top quarter (about 48%, above 92% of cities).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Willernie, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Willernie looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Willernie is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Willernie have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mahtomedi, MN D+16
- Pine Springs, MN D+4
- Birchwood Village, MN D+27
- White Bear Lake, MN D+20
- Dellwood, MN Even
- Grant, MN R+11
- North St. Paul, MN D+18
- Gem Lake, MN D+21
- Oakdale, MN D+17
- Lake Elmo, MN D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chalybeate, MS R+84
- Waldron, MI R+55
- Vaucluse, SC R+10
- Nimitz, WV R+61
- Spring Hill, AR R+72
- Martinsburg, OH R+66
- Easton, MO R+51
- Bancroft, WI R+35
- Zwingle, IA R+45
- Flinton, PA R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.