Mahtomedi leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Mahtomedi typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mahtomedi, ~59% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~-2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mahtomedi compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mahtomedi leans more Democratic than 59 of 104 neighbors.
Mahtomedi runs about 11 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mahtomedi. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+21) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Mahtomedi leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mahtomedi, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 65% of adults in Mahtomedi hold a bachelor's degree, about 36 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Mahtomedi sits in the top fifth on density (about 74%, above 93% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Mahtomedi, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mahtomedi looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mahtomedi is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Mahtomedi have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Willernie, MN D+12
- Birchwood Village, MN D+27
- Pine Springs, MN D+4
- Dellwood, MN Even
- White Bear Lake, MN D+20
- Grant, MN R+11
- North St. Paul, MN D+18
- Gem Lake, MN D+21
- Oakdale, MN D+17
- Vadnais Heights, MN D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Belmont, NH R+24
- Bluefield, VA R+47
- Beecher, IL R+31
- Somerset, WI R+31
- Bellwood, VA D+26
- Cross City, FL R+64
- Twin Lakes, WI R+27
- Green, OR R+31
- Chesapeake, OH R+52
- Holtville, CA R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.