Winton leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 38% of adults in Winton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Winton, ~18% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Winton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Winton leans more Republican than 5 of 32 neighbors.
Winton runs about 26 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Winton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Winton. The south side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+48), a spread of about 49 points.
Why Winton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Winton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Winton votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 49%, modestly below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Winton sits in the bottom quarter (about 8%, below 96% of cities). Winton runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Winton, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Winton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Winton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 15 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in Winton rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Winton report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Atwater, CA R+13
- Cressey, CA R+40
- Castle Garden, CA R+26
- McSwain, CA R+37
- Livingston, CA D+3
- Ballico, CA R+39
- Merced, CA D+6
- Delhi, CA R+5
- Snelling, CA R+47
- Buhach, CA R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Goldenrod, FL D+6
- Macclenny, FL R+57
- Santaquin, UT R+61
- Warrensville Heights, OH D+88
- Sweet Home, OR R+40
- Lyman, SC R+46
- Hamilton, MT R+29
- Mapleton, UT R+52
- Woodland Park, NJ R+10
- Lockhart, FL D+14
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.