03811 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 92% of adults in 03811 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 03811, ~45% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 03811 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 03811 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 30 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 9 leaning the other way.
03811 runs about 4 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 03811. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 03811 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 03811. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 03811, NH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 03811 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 03811 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in 03811 own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.