05858 leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 81% of adults in 05858 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05858, ~25% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05858 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05858 leans more Republican than 14 of 15 neighbors.
05858 runs about 70 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05858 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 05858 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05858, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
05858 votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05858 runs about 70 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 05858, VT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 05858 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in 05858 own their home, about 9 points above the Vermont average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.