05824 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 79% of adults in 05824 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05824, ~27% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05824 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05824 leans more Republican than 11 of 15 neighbors.
05824 runs about 64 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05824 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 05824. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 05824 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05824, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
05824 votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05824 runs about 64 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 05824, VT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 05824 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in 05824 own their home, about 10 points above the Vermont average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.